Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.796892 2.056324 2.341355 2.677966 3.064932 3.496220 4.013883
2025-08-10 1.365052 1.689525 2.075654 2.569862 3.186910 3.933628 4.908511
2025-08-17 1.058576 1.399069 1.832339 2.425852 3.220642 4.252336 5.699964
2025-08-24 0.882541 1.235002 1.710501 2.401828 3.386483 4.746407 6.780896
2025-08-31 0.742302 1.092206 1.589160 2.350716 3.496364 5.168427 7.817468
2025-09-07 0.674980 1.039647 1.582477 2.455463 3.836507 5.957503 9.501225
2025-09-14 0.608410 0.976636 1.548544 2.509469 4.100875 6.661349 11.152963
2025-09-21 0.539812 0.899630 1.480476 2.496190 4.250283 7.195541 12.599155
2025-09-28 0.467381 0.805909 1.371921 2.398429 4.240397 7.456622 13.605996
2025-10-05 0.441209 0.786543 1.384124 2.507354 4.600307 8.398571 15.963506
2025-10-12 0.419823 0.772357 1.402575 2.628069 4.994960 9.451415 18.680901
2025-10-19 0.392300 0.743237 1.389961 2.688184 5.281379 10.335929 21.197136
2025-10-26 0.363194 0.708702 1.365186 2.725939 5.538071 11.214940 23.878658
2025-11-02 0.323594 0.649010 1.285181 2.643915 5.542688 11.590069 25.563711
2025-11-09 0.283668 0.583746 1.186246 2.509764 5.419244 11.680059 26.636426
2025-11-16 0.260118 0.549209 1.145350 2.492344 5.543849 12.318353 29.054505
2025-11-23 0.236383 0.511402 1.093079 2.443120 5.590485 12.789104 31.154057
2025-11-30 0.228548 0.507022 1.111611 2.554293 6.019026 14.192384 35.753435
2025-12-07 0.217002 0.492972 1.107136 2.611724 6.328550 15.358513 39.952006
2025-12-14 0.201401 0.467821 1.074655 2.598502 6.464258 16.120441 43.225411
2025-12-21 0.181468 0.430272 1.009274 2.496907 6.364977 16.279455 44.902985
2025-12-28 0.176930 0.428963 1.029301 2.610645 6.834250 17.969061 51.119316
2026-01-04 0.173189 0.429148 1.052913 2.736614 7.353880 19.868677 58.275468